Motorists in South Africa should prepare for another fuel price increase in July 2025, especially those who drive diesel vehicles. Although there was some relief earlier this month with a notable drop in both petrol and diesel prices, recent global events have quickly reversed that trend.
The situation shifted dramatically following Israel’s recent attack on Iran, which caused Brent crude oil prices to spike and weakened the rand. If current trends continue—though fluctuations in both the oil market and exchange rate make this uncertain—motorists may face the following increases:
- Petrol 93 octane: Up by approximately 35 cents per litre
- Petrol 95 octane: Up by around 38 cents per litre
- Diesel: Expected increase between 56 and 58 cents per litre
- Illuminating paraffin: Estimated rise of 45 cents per litre
What’s Driving the Increases?
Fuel prices in South Africa are influenced primarily by two key factors:
- International oil prices – Petrol and diesel costs are directly impacted by global crude oil prices.
- Rand/US dollar exchange rate – Since fuel is imported, the strength of the rand against the dollar affects final pricing.
Current Market Indicators (as of time of reporting):
- Brent crude oil: $77.24 per barrel
- Rand/US dollar exchange rate: R18.03/$
These figures are likely to fluctuate before month-end, but if the current trajectory continues, an increase in fuel prices is inevitable.
When Will the New Prices Take Effect?
The final adjustments for petrol and diesel prices will be announced at the beginning of July, with the new rates coming into effect at midnight on Tuesday, 1 July 2025.
June 2025 Prices: A Brief Look
While the fuel price outlook is particularly severe for diesel users, petrol drivers should also expect a noticeable spike at the pumps.
The projections, based on data released by the Central Energy Fund (CEF) as of Thursday, 19 June, confirm that fuel cost pressures are mounting once again.
Until then, South Africans are advised to drive mindfully and conserve fuel wherever possible.
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